Fatima Kline vs Tabatha Ricci: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · July 18, 2026
Result
Fatima Kline defeated Tabatha Ricci by Decision in round 3 at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman on July 18, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Fatima Kline as the favourite at 71%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Fatima Kline a 71% chance to beat Tabatha Ricci (Tabatha Ricci 29%).
The betting market prices Fatima Kline at 78% (-473) and Tabatha Ricci at 22% (+333), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Tabatha Ricci than the bookmakers: 68% for Fatima Kline against the market's 78%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Kline's striking volume and momentum from her winning streak clash with Ricci's elite grappling skills and cage experience, creating a thrilling battle of striking versus wrestling.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 56%, KO/TKO 29%, submission 15%. The most likely way this 3-round women's strawweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 56%, over 1.5 rounds 87%, over 2.5 rounds 76%.
Key factors
- Kline striking volume advantage
- Ricci grappling control potential
- Kline momentum from winning streak
Tale of the tape
| Fatima Kline | Tabatha Ricci | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-1 | 7-5 |
| Age | 26 | 32 |
| Height | 5'6" (168 cm) | 5'2" (157 cm) |
| UFC fights | 5 | 12 |
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