Sean Sharaf vs Gable Steveson: Result and Prediction
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · September 19, 2026
Result
Sean Sharaf defeated Gable Steveson by KO/TKO in round 1 (0:12) at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 on September 19, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Sean Sharaf at only 19%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Gable Steveson a 81% chance to beat Sean Sharaf (Sean Sharaf 19%).
The betting market prices Sean Sharaf at 9% (+919) and Gable Steveson at 91% (-2609), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Sean Sharaf than the bookmakers: 15% for Sean Sharaf against the market's 9%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
In a clash of styles, Steveson's elite grappling and striking power are poised to exploit Sharaf's defensive gaps, making a finish likely.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 75%, decision 25%, submission 0%. The most likely way this 3-round heavyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 25%.
Key factors
- Steveson's elite grappling
- Sharaf's cardio strength
- Striking power differential
Tale of the tape
| Sean Sharaf | Gable Steveson | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Age | 33 | 26 |
| Height | 6'2" (188 cm) | 6'1" (185 cm) |
| UFC fights | 3 | 2 |
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