Yazmin Jauregui vs Vanessa Demopoulos: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · September 26, 2026
Result
Yazmin Jauregui defeated Vanessa Demopoulos at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos on September 26, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Yazmin Jauregui as the favourite at 74%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Yazmin Jauregui a 74% chance to beat Vanessa Demopoulos (Vanessa Demopoulos 26%).
The betting market prices Yazmin Jauregui at 86% (-1064) and Vanessa Demopoulos at 14% (+599), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Vanessa Demopoulos than the bookmakers: 66% for Yazmin Jauregui against the market's 86%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Jauregui’s relentless takedown pressure and striking volume clashing against Demopoulos's grappling experience, this matchup could showcase a fascinating battle of control versus resilience.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 62%, KO/TKO 23%, submission 16%. The most likely way this 3-round women's strawweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 62%, over 1.5 rounds 87%, over 2.5 rounds 78%.
Key factors
- Jauregui striking volume advantage
- Jauregui grappling control dominance
- Demopoulos experience edge
Tale of the tape
| Yazmin Jauregui | Vanessa Demopoulos | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-2 | 5-5 |
| Age | 28 | 38 |
| Height | 5'3" (160 cm) | 5'2" (157 cm) |
| UFC fights | 5 | 10 |
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