Charles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes Prediction, Odds and Pick
UFC 335: Oliveira vs. Lopes · December 12, 2026
Who wins Charles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes?
FIGHT//AI gives Charles Oliveira a 52% chance to beat Diego Lopes, who is at 48%. The headline number blends our machine-learning model with the betting market and fan sentiment.
Oliveira's grappling prowess and striking precision may overwhelm Lopes early, but if the fight stretches, Lopes' cardio could turn the tide in the championship rounds.
How the fight ends
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 34%, decision 34%, submission 32%. The most likely way this 5-round lightweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 34%, over 1.5 rounds 72%, over 2.5 rounds 54%.
Key factors
- Oliveira grappling advantage on the mat
- Oliveira striking precision over Lopes
- Lopes cardio edge in later rounds
Tale of the tape
| Charles Oliveira | Diego Lopes | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 25-11 | 7-3 |
| Age | 37 | 32 |
| Height | 5'10" (178 cm) | 5'11" (180 cm) |
| Reach | 74" (188 cm) | – |
| Stance | Orthodox | – |
| UFC fights | 36 | 10 |
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