Mike Malott vs Joaquin Buckley Prediction, Odds and Pick
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · October 17, 2026
Who wins Mike Malott vs Joaquin Buckley?
FIGHT//AI gives Mike Malott a 56% chance to beat Joaquin Buckley, who is at 44%. The headline number blends our machine-learning model with the betting market and fan sentiment.
The betting market prices Mike Malott at 54% (-132) and Joaquin Buckley at 46% (+107), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Mike Malott than the bookmakers: 60% for Mike Malott against the market's 54%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Malott rides a winning streak and boasts superior grappling, but Buckley's experience and striking could make this clash between momentum and adaptability a must-watch.
How the fight ends
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 46%, decision 40%, submission 14%. The most likely way this 5-round welterweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 40%, over 1.5 rounds 81%, over 2.5 rounds 68%.
Key factors
- Malott grappling control advantage
- Buckley experience edge in adjustments
- Buckley cardio advantage in later rounds
Tale of the tape
| Mike Malott | Joaquin Buckley | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-1 | 11-6 |
| Age | 35 | 32 |
| Height | 6'1" (185 cm) | 5'8" (173 cm) |
| UFC fights | 8 | 17 |
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