Robelis Despaigne vs Tai Tuivasa: Result and Prediction
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · September 19, 2026
Result
Robelis Despaigne defeated Tai Tuivasa by Decision - Split in round 3 (5:00) at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 on September 19, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Robelis Despaigne as the favourite at 78%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Robelis Despaigne a 78% chance to beat Tai Tuivasa (Tai Tuivasa 22%).
The betting market prices Robelis Despaigne at 82% (-645) and Tai Tuivasa at 18% (+421), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Despaigne's fresh momentum clashes with Tuivasa's desperation to break his losing streak, setting the stage for a striking show where Despaigne’s precision and Tuivasa’s volume could determine the tide.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 53%, decision 36%, submission 11%. The most likely way this 3-round heavyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 36%, over 1.5 rounds 69%, over 2.5 rounds 52%.
Key factors
- Despaigne submission threat on the ground
- Tuivasa striking volume advantage
- Despaigne momentum over Tuivasa
Tale of the tape
| Robelis Despaigne | Tai Tuivasa | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 8-11 |
| Age | 38 | 34 |
| Height | 6'7" (201 cm) | 6'2" (188 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 19 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.