Robert Bryczek vs Rodolfo Vieira: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · September 26, 2026
Result
Rodolfo Vieira defeated Robert Bryczek at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos on September 26, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Rodolfo Vieira as the favourite at 54%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Rodolfo Vieira a 54% chance to beat Robert Bryczek (Robert Bryczek 46%).
The betting market prices Robert Bryczek at 41% (+134) and Rodolfo Vieira at 59% (-168), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Bryczek faces a daunting challenge against Vieira, whose elite grappling and submission skills could exploit Bryczek's weaknesses, especially given their recent form struggles.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 45%, submission 28%, KO/TKO 27%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 45%, over 1.5 rounds 84%, over 2.5 rounds 72%.
Key factors
- Grappling advantage for Vieira
- Bryczek's cardio edge
- Submission threat looms large
Tale of the tape
| Robert Bryczek | Rodolfo Vieira | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-2 | 6-5 |
| Age | 36 | 37 |
| Height | 6'0" (183 cm) | 5'11" (180 cm) |
| UFC fights | 3 | 11 |
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