Brendson Ribeiro vs Magomed Tuchalov: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · July 25, 2026
Result
Magomed Tuchalov defeated Brendson Ribeiro by Decision in round 3 at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov on July 25, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Magomed Tuchalov as the favourite at 77%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Magomed Tuchalov a 77% chance to beat Brendson Ribeiro (Brendson Ribeiro 23%).
The betting market prices Brendson Ribeiro at 15% (+522) and Magomed Tuchalov at 85% (-875), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Brendson Ribeiro than the bookmakers: 35% for Brendson Ribeiro against the market's 15%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Tuchalov's elite striking and defensive prowess will likely exploit Ribeiro's recent struggles, leading to a potential knockout finish in the later rounds.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 69%, submission 17%, decision 15%. The most likely way this 3-round light heavyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 15%.
Key factors
- Tuchalov's striking power
- Ribeiro's recent struggles
- Tuchalov's elite defense
Tale of the tape
| Brendson Ribeiro | Magomed Tuchalov | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-6 | 1-0 |
| Age | 30 | 27 |
| Height | 6'3" (191 cm) | 6'5" (196 cm) |
| UFC fights | 8 | 1 |
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