Eric Nolan vs Court McGee: Result and Prediction

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · October 3, 2026

Result

Eric Nolan defeated Court McGee at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang on October 3, 2026.

The FIGHT//AI model had Eric Nolan at only 48%, so this was an upset against the model.

Model prediction

The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Court McGee a 52% chance to beat Eric Nolan (Eric Nolan 48%).

The betting market prices Eric Nolan at 66% (-239) and Court McGee at 34% (+180), with the bookmaker margin removed.

Our model is more positive on Court McGee than the bookmakers: 15% for Eric Nolan against the market's 66%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.

Nolan faces a daunting challenge against McGee, whose grappling prowess and submission threat could exploit Nolan's inexperience and lead to a decisive finish.

How the model expected it to end

Method of victory, either fighter: decision 48%, KO/TKO 26%, submission 25%. The most likely way this 3-round welterweight fight ends is on the scorecards.

Fight length: goes the distance 48%.

Key factors

• McGee's grappling control
• Nolan's striking volume
• Experience disparity

Tale of the tape

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