Yuneisy Duben vs Jeisla Chaves: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · June 6, 2026
Result
Jeisla Chaves defeated Yuneisy Duben by Decision - Split in round 3 (05:00:00) at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim on June 6, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Jeisla Chaves as the favourite at 64%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Jeisla Chaves a 64% chance to beat Yuneisy Duben (Yuneisy Duben 36%).
The betting market prices Yuneisy Duben at 27% (+252) and Jeisla Chaves at 73% (-340), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Yuneisy Duben than the bookmakers: 51% for Yuneisy Duben against the market's 27%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Duben's striking power and defensive prowess could exploit Chaves' weaknesses, leading to a potential early finish in this closely matched bout.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 65%, decision 31%, submission 4%. The most likely way this 3-round women's flyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 31%.
Key factors
- Duben's KO power
- Chaves' cardio
- Defensive edge for Duben
Tale of the tape
| Yuneisy Duben | Jeisla Chaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Age | 30 | 30 |
| Height | 5'4" (163 cm) | 5'6" (168 cm) |
| UFC fights | 2 | 2 |
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