Trevor Peek vs Kurtis Campbell: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · September 5, 2026
Result
Kurtis Campbell defeated Trevor Peek by Submission in round 3 (3:07) at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse on September 5, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Kurtis Campbell as the favourite at 67%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Kurtis Campbell a 67% chance to beat Trevor Peek (Trevor Peek 33%).
The betting market prices Trevor Peek at 25% (+283) and Kurtis Campbell at 75% (-408), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Trevor Peek than the bookmakers: 45% for Trevor Peek against the market's 25%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
In a clash of styles, Campbell's knockout power and elite defense may exploit Peek's grappling weaknesses, especially given Peek's recent struggles in the octagon.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 53%, decision 39%, submission 8%. The most likely way this 3-round featherweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 39%.
Key factors
- Campbell's striking power
- Peek's grappling limitations
- Campbell's elite defense
Tale of the tape
| Trevor Peek | Kurtis Campbell | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Age | 32 | 24 |
| Height | 5'9" (175 cm) | 5'9" (175 cm) |
| UFC fights | 6 | 2 |
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