Kevin Borjas vs Andre Lima: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · June 20, 2026
Result
Kevin Borjas defeated Andre Lima by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (05:00:00) at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi on June 20, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Kevin Borjas at only 29%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Andre Lima a 71% chance to beat Kevin Borjas (Kevin Borjas 29%).
The betting market prices Kevin Borjas at 18% (+438) and Andre Lima at 82% (-673), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Kevin Borjas than the bookmakers: 34% for Kevin Borjas against the market's 18%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Lima on a winning streak and showing improved striking volume and cardio, Borjas will need to wrestle early and often to avoid getting overwhelmed as the fight deepens.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 60%, KO/TKO 21%, submission 19%. The most likely way this 3-round flyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 60%, over 1.5 rounds 88%, over 2.5 rounds 78%.
Key factors
- Lima striking volume advantage
- Lima cardio strength late
- Borjas takedown pressure
Tale of the tape
| Kevin Borjas | Andre Lima | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-5 | 5-1 |
| Age | 28 | 28 |
| Height | 5'5" (165 cm) | 5'7" (170 cm) |
| UFC fights | 7 | 6 |
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