Theodor Berggren vs Daniil Donchenko: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · June 27, 2026
Result
Daniil Donchenko defeated Theodor Berggren by KO/TKO in round 2 (01:35:00) at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres on June 27, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Daniil Donchenko as the favourite at 71%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Daniil Donchenko a 71% chance to beat Theodor Berggren (Theodor Berggren 29%).
The betting market prices Theodor Berggren at 20% (+367) and Daniil Donchenko at 80% (-534), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Theodor Berggren than the bookmakers: 41% for Theodor Berggren against the market's 20%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
In a clash of styles, Donchenko's elite striking volume and defensive metrics may overwhelm Berggren, who will need to rely on grappling to survive the knockout threat.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 61%, decision 22%, submission 17%. The most likely way this 3-round welterweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 22%.
Key factors
- Donchenko's elite striking volume
- Berggren's grappling strength
- Defensive edge for Donchenko
Tale of the tape
| Theodor Berggren | Daniil Donchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Age | 26 | 25 |
| Height | 6'0" (183 cm) | 5'11" (180 cm) |
| UFC fights | 1 | 4 |
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