Robert Valentin vs Dusko Todorovic: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · August 1, 2026
Result
Robert Valentin defeated Dusko Todorovic by Submission in round 1 (4:14) at UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez on August 1, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Robert Valentin at only 49%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Dusko Todorovic a 51% chance to beat Robert Valentin (Robert Valentin 49%).
The betting market prices Robert Valentin at 59% (-161) and Dusko Todorovic at 41% (+131), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Dusko Todorovic than the bookmakers: 41% for Robert Valentin against the market's 59%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Todorovic's grappling prowess and striking accuracy facing off against Valentin's knockout potential, this clash could quickly shift from a striking battle to a ground game showcase.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 42%, KO/TKO 34%, submission 25%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 42%, over 1.5 rounds 74%, over 2.5 rounds 61%.
Key factors
- Todorovic grappling control advantage
- Valentin striking power threat
- Todorovic experience edge
Tale of the tape
| Robert Valentin | Dusko Todorovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-3 | 4-7 |
| Age | 32 | 32 |
| Height | 6'2" (188 cm) | 6'1" (185 cm) |
| UFC fights | 5 | 11 |
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