Hailey Cowan vs Alice Pereira: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · April 4, 2026
Result
Alice Pereira defeated Hailey Cowan by KO/TKO in round 2 (4:24) at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan on April 4, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Alice Pereira as the favourite at 58%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Alice Pereira a 58% chance to beat Hailey Cowan (Hailey Cowan 42%).
The betting market prices Hailey Cowan at 45% (+110) and Alice Pereira at 55% (-135), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Alice Pereira than the bookmakers: 35% for Hailey Cowan against the market's 45%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
In a clash of styles, Pereira's knockout threat and elite defense may exploit Cowan's grappling reliance, leading to a decisive finish.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 57%, decision 23%, submission 20%. The most likely way this 3-round women's bantamweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 23%.
Key factors
- Pereira's striking power
- Cowan's grappling control
- Pereira's elite defense
Tale of the tape
| Hailey Cowan | Alice Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 1-1 |
| Age | 35 | 21 |
| Height | 5'8" (173 cm) | 5'8" (173 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 2 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.