Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs Mehemmedeli Osmanli: Result and Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · September 26, 2026

Result

Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu defeated Mehemmedeli Osmanli at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos on September 26, 2026.

The FIGHT//AI model had Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu at only 31%, so this was an upset against the model.

Model prediction

The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Mehemmedeli Osmanli a 69% chance to beat Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu (Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu 31%).

The betting market prices Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu at 28% (+236) and Mehemmedeli Osmanli at 72% (-310), with the bookmaker margin removed.

Our model is more positive on Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu than the bookmakers: 35% for Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu against the market's 28%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.

With both fighters young and unblemished, this clash features Osmanli's superior grappling and control time against Uulu's impressive submission skills, making their battle a thrilling toss-up.

How the model expected it to end

Method of victory, either fighter: submission 59%, decision 22%, KO/TKO 19%. The most likely way this 3-round bantamweight fight ends is by submission.

Fight length: goes the distance 22%.

Tale of the tape

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