Jacqueline Cavalcanti vs Ketlen Vieira: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026
Result
Ketlen Vieira defeated Jacqueline Cavalcanti by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa on May 16, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Ketlen Vieira at only 33%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Jacqueline Cavalcanti a 67% chance to beat Ketlen Vieira (Ketlen Vieira 33%).
The betting market prices Jacqueline Cavalcanti at 59% (-165) and Ketlen Vieira at 41% (+131), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Jacqueline Cavalcanti than the bookmakers: 75% for Jacqueline Cavalcanti against the market's 59%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Cavalcanti's striking prowess and defensive acumen clash with Vieira's grappling elite, setting the stage for a potential finish amid contrasting styles.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 70%, KO/TKO 17%, submission 13%. The most likely way this 3-round women's bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 70%, over 1.5 rounds 91%, over 2.5 rounds 84%.
Key factors
- Cavalcanti's striking power
- Cavalcanti's defensive skills
- Vieira's grappling control
Tale of the tape
| Jacqueline Cavalcanti | Ketlen Vieira | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-1 | 10-5 |
| Age | 29 | 35 |
| Height | 5'9" (175 cm) | 5'9" (175 cm) |
| UFC fights | 6 | 15 |
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