Yousri Belgaroui vs Mansur Abdul-Malik: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · March 28, 2026
Result
Yousri Belgaroui defeated Mansur Abdul-Malik by KO/TKO in round 3 (3:39) at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer on March 28, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Yousri Belgaroui at only 46%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Mansur Abdul-Malik a 54% chance to beat Yousri Belgaroui (Yousri Belgaroui 46%).
The betting market prices Yousri Belgaroui at 46% (+108) and Mansur Abdul-Malik at 54% (-132), with the bookmaker margin removed.
In a clash of styles, Belgaroui's knockout threat meets Abdul-Malik's grappling prowess, with recent form favoring the grappler's ability to avoid damage and control the fight.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 48%, submission 32%, decision 21%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 21%.
Key factors
- Belgaroui's striking power
- Abdul-Malik's grappling control
- Abdul-Malik's defensive metrics
Tale of the tape
| Yousri Belgaroui | Mansur Abdul-Malik | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-0 | 3-2 |
| Age | 39 | 29 |
| Height | 6'5" (196 cm) | 6'2" (188 cm) |
| UFC fights | 3 | 5 |
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