Manuel Torres vs Rafael Fiziev: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · June 27, 2026
Result
Rafael Fiziev defeated Manuel Torres by KO/TKO in round 2 (00:15:00) at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres on June 27, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Rafael Fiziev at only 46%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Manuel Torres a 54% chance to beat Rafael Fiziev (Rafael Fiziev 46%).
The betting market prices Manuel Torres at 50% (-109) and Rafael Fiziev at 50% (-112), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Manuel Torres than the bookmakers: 57% for Manuel Torres against the market's 50%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Torres riding high on a winning streak and boasting knockout power, he’s set to clash with the experienced and adaptable Fiziev, who may be vulnerable to heavy strikes.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 45%, decision 40%, submission 14%. The most likely way this 5-round lightweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 40%, over 1.5 rounds 73%, over 2.5 rounds 58%.
Key factors
- Torres striking volume advantage
- Fiziev's experience in UFC
- Torres KO power threat
Tale of the tape
| Manuel Torres | Rafael Fiziev | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-2 | 8-5 |
| Age | 32 | 34 |
| Height | 5'9" (175 cm) | 5'8" (173 cm) |
| UFC fights | 7 | 13 |
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