Tabatha Ricci vs Virna Jandiroba: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · April 4, 2026
Result
Virna Jandiroba defeated Tabatha Ricci by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan on April 4, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Virna Jandiroba as the favourite at 51%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Virna Jandiroba a 51% chance to beat Tabatha Ricci (Tabatha Ricci 49%).
The betting market prices Tabatha Ricci at 46% (+106) and Virna Jandiroba at 54% (-129), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Ricci's cardio and recent momentum clash with Jandiroba's elite grappling, making this a compelling contest of styles with potential for a finish on either side.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 57%, KO/TKO 23%, submission 21%. The most likely way this 3-round women's strawweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 57%, over 1.5 rounds 86%, over 2.5 rounds 75%.
Key factors
- Ricci's cardio advantage
- Jandiroba's grappling control
- Recent win streak for Ricci
Tale of the tape
| Tabatha Ricci | Virna Jandiroba | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-5 | 9-4 |
| Age | 32 | 38 |
| Height | 5'2" (157 cm) | 5'3" (160 cm) |
| UFC fights | 12 | 13 |
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