Joanderson Brito vs Jordan Leavitt: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · June 6, 2026
Result
Joanderson Brito defeated Jordan Leavitt by Submission in round 1 (04:19:00) at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim on June 6, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Joanderson Brito as the favourite at 52%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Joanderson Brito a 52% chance to beat Jordan Leavitt (Jordan Leavitt 48%).
The betting market prices Joanderson Brito at 62% (-192) and Jordan Leavitt at 38% (+153), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Jordan Leavitt than the bookmakers: 44% for Joanderson Brito against the market's 62%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Brito's wrestling prowess likely to clash with Leavitt's striking power and momentum, this fight could pivot on whether Leavitt can keep it standing or if Brito can impose his grappling game.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 44%, KO/TKO 32%, submission 25%. The most likely way this 3-round featherweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 44%, over 1.5 rounds 75%, over 2.5 rounds 61%.
Key factors
- Leavitt's striking power advantage
- Brito's grappling control potential
- Leavitt's recent momentum boost
Tale of the tape
| Joanderson Brito | Jordan Leavitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-3 | 6-4 |
| Age | 32 | 31 |
| Height | 5'8" (173 cm) | 5'11" (180 cm) |
| UFC fights | 11 | 10 |
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