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Andre Petroski vs Cody Brundage: Result and Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026

Result

Cody Brundage defeated Andre Petroski by KO/TKO in round 2 (0:44) at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa on May 16, 2026.

The FIGHT//AI model had Cody Brundage at only 47%, so this was an upset against the model.

Model prediction

The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Andre Petroski a 53% chance to beat Cody Brundage (Cody Brundage 47%).

The betting market prices Andre Petroski at 61% (-179) and Cody Brundage at 39% (+143), with the bookmaker margin removed.

Our model is more positive on Cody Brundage than the bookmakers: 48% for Andre Petroski against the market's 61%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.

With Petroski's grappling control and cardio likely overshadowing Brundage’s striking power, this match could turn into a battle of endurance versus explosive moments.

How the model expected it to end

Method of victory, either fighter: decision 50%, KO/TKO 30%, submission 20%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is on the scorecards.

Fight length: goes the distance 50%, over 1.5 rounds 78%, over 2.5 rounds 66%.

Key factors

  • Petroski grappling control advantage
  • Brundage striking power threat
  • Petroski cardio edge in later rounds

Tale of the tape

Andre PetroskiCody Brundage
Record8-56-8
Age3532
Height6'0" (183 cm)6'1" (185 cm)
UFC fights1314

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