Regina Tarin vs JJ Aldrich: Result and Prediction
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · September 12, 2026
Result
Regina Tarin defeated JJ Aldrich by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado on September 12, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Regina Tarin as the favourite at 64%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Regina Tarin a 64% chance to beat JJ Aldrich (JJ Aldrich 36%).
The betting market prices Regina Tarin at 70% (-291) and JJ Aldrich at 30% (+221), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on JJ Aldrich than the bookmakers: 55% for Regina Tarin against the market's 70%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Tarin's knockout threat and elite defense clash with Aldrich's grappling prowess, making this matchup a compelling battle of styles with potential for a finish.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 48%, decision 40%, submission 13%. The most likely way this 3-round women's flyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 40%.
Key factors
- Tarin's striking power
- Aldrich's grappling edge
- Tarin's elite defense
Tale of the tape
| Regina Tarin | JJ Aldrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-0 | 11-7 |
| Age | 21 | 34 |
| Height | 5'7" (170 cm) | – |
| UFC fights | 2 | 18 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.