Ozzy Diaz vs Ryan Gandra: Result and Prediction
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · September 19, 2026
Result
Ryan Gandra defeated Ozzy Diaz by KO/TKO in round 1 (2:04) at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 on September 19, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Ryan Gandra as the favourite at 78%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Ryan Gandra a 78% chance to beat Ozzy Diaz (Ozzy Diaz 22%).
The betting market prices Ozzy Diaz at 20% (+372) and Ryan Gandra at 80% (-566), with the bookmaker margin removed.
In a clash of styles, Gandra's elite striking power and knockout threat could exploit Diaz's defensive vulnerabilities, especially given Diaz's recent struggles in the octagon.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 62%, decision 28%, submission 10%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 28%.
Key factors
- Gandra's elite striking power
- Diaz's defensive struggles
- Recent form favors Gandra
Tale of the tape
| Ozzy Diaz | Ryan Gandra | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Age | 36 | 31 |
| Height | – | 6'1" (185 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 3 |
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