Payton Talbott vs Deiveson Figueiredo: Result and Prediction
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · October 3, 2026
Result
Payton Talbott defeated Deiveson Figueiredo at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang on October 3, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Payton Talbott as the favourite at 82%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Payton Talbott a 82% chance to beat Deiveson Figueiredo (Deiveson Figueiredo 18%).
The betting market prices Payton Talbott at 83% (-750) and Deiveson Figueiredo at 17% (+464), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Talbott's impressive cardio and striking power will test Figueiredo's chin, while Figueiredo's grappling could turn the tide if he survives early pressure.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 43%, KO/TKO 37%, submission 20%. The most likely way this 3-round bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 43%, over 1.5 rounds 78%, over 2.5 rounds 62%.
Key factors
- Talbott's cardio advantage
- Figueiredo's submission threat
- Recent form favors Talbott
Tale of the tape
| Payton Talbott | Deiveson Figueiredo | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-1 | 14-7 |
| Age | 28 | 39 |
| Height | 5'10" (178 cm) | 5'5" (165 cm) |
| UFC fights | 6 | 21 |
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