Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus: Result and Prediction
UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje · June 14, 2026
Result
Bo Nickal defeated Kyle Daukaus by KO/TKO in round 1 (04:34:00) at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje on June 14, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Bo Nickal as the favourite at 67%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Bo Nickal a 67% chance to beat Kyle Daukaus (Kyle Daukaus 33%).
The betting market prices Bo Nickal at 73% (-335) and Kyle Daukaus at 27% (+250), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Nickal's grappling dominance and finishing ability clash with Daukaus's solid defense, setting the stage for a potential submission or ground-and-pound finish.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 43%, KO/TKO 30%, submission 27%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 43%, over 1.5 rounds 75%, over 2.5 rounds 61%.
Key factors
- Nickal's elite grappling
- Daukaus's defensive skills
- Recent momentum for Nickal
Tale of the tape
| Bo Nickal | Kyle Daukaus | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-1 | 4-5 |
| Age | 31 | 34 |
| Height | 6'1" (185 cm) | 6'3" (191 cm) |
| UFC fights | 7 | 9 |
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