Tresean Gore vs Vicente Luque: Result and Prediction
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · August 15, 2026
Result
Tresean Gore defeated Vicente Luque by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry on August 15, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Tresean Gore at only 46%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Vicente Luque a 54% chance to beat Tresean Gore (Tresean Gore 46%).
The betting market prices Tresean Gore at 52% (-120) and Vicente Luque at 48% (-103), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Vicente Luque than the bookmakers: 40% for Tresean Gore against the market's 52%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Luque's proven striking volume and experience against Gore's grappling ability, this matchup sets the stage for a potential battle of striking versus ground control.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 35%, submission 34%, KO/TKO 31%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 35%, over 1.5 rounds 69%, over 2.5 rounds 53%.
Key factors
- Luque striking volume advantage
- Gore grappling control potential
- Luque cardio edge in later rounds
Tale of the tape
| Tresean Gore | Vicente Luque | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-4 | 17-9 |
| Age | 32 | 35 |
| Height | 6'0" (183 cm) | 5'11" (180 cm) |
| UFC fights | 8 | 26 |
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