Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · October 10, 2026
Result
Otari Tanzilovi defeated Malcolm Wellmaker at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan on October 10, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Otari Tanzilovi at only 38%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Malcolm Wellmaker a 62% chance to beat Otari Tanzilovi (Otari Tanzilovi 38%).
The betting market prices Malcolm Wellmaker at 66% (-224) and Otari Tanzilovi at 34% (+177), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Otari Tanzilovi than the bookmakers: 57% for Malcolm Wellmaker against the market's 66%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Thin tape on Tanzilovi — model projects Wellmaker at 57% but treat this as a sketch, not a blueprint.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 46%, KO/TKO 42%, submission 11%. The most likely way this 3-round bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 46%.
Key factors
- Tanzilovi takedown pressure advantage
- Wellmaker experience edge
- Tanzilovi submission threat
Tale of the tape
| Malcolm Wellmaker | Otari Tanzilovi | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Age | 32 | 28 |
| Height | 5'9" (175 cm) | 5'9" (175 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 1 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.