Carlos Ulberg vs Jiri Prochazka: Result and Prediction
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · April 11, 2026
Result
Carlos Ulberg defeated Jiri Prochazka by KO/TKO in round 1 (3:45) at UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg on April 11, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Carlos Ulberg at only 48%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Jiri Prochazka a 52% chance to beat Carlos Ulberg (Carlos Ulberg 48%).
The betting market prices Carlos Ulberg at 48% (-103) and Jiri Prochazka at 52% (-120), with the bookmaker margin removed.
In a clash of striking prowess, Prochazka's KO threat looms large against Ulberg's elite defense, while both fighters ride impressive win streaks.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 46%, decision 38%, submission 15%. The most likely way this 5-round light heavyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 38%, over 1.5 rounds 78%, over 2.5 rounds 64%.
Key factors
- Ulberg's elite defense
- Prochazka's KO power
- Ulberg's recent momentum
Tale of the tape
| Carlos Ulberg | Jiri Prochazka | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 10-1 | 6-3 |
| Age | 36 | 34 |
| Height | 6'4" (193 cm) | 6'4" (193 cm) |
| UFC fights | 11 | 9 |
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