Eric McConico vs Donte Johnson: Result and Prediction
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · August 15, 2026
Result
Donte Johnson defeated Eric McConico by KO/TKO in round 1 (1:38) at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry on August 15, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Donte Johnson as the favourite at 66%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Donte Johnson a 66% chance to beat Eric McConico (Eric McConico 34%).
The betting market prices Eric McConico at 29% (+231) and Donte Johnson at 71% (-312), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Eric McConico than the bookmakers: 35% for Eric McConico against the market's 29%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
In a clash of styles, Johnson's elite striking and grappling threaten to overwhelm McConico, who struggles against high-volume finishers.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 60%, decision 32%, submission 8%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 32%.
Key factors
- Johnson's striking power
- Grappling control advantage
- Elite defensive metrics
Tale of the tape
| Eric McConico | Donte Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Age | 36 | 28 |
| Height | 6'0" (183 cm) | 5'8" (173 cm) |
| UFC fights | 5 | 3 |
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