Brunno Ferreira vs Edmen Shahbazyan: Result and Prediction
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · September 19, 2026
Result
Edmen Shahbazyan defeated Brunno Ferreira by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 on September 19, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Edmen Shahbazyan as the favourite at 65%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Edmen Shahbazyan a 65% chance to beat Brunno Ferreira (Brunno Ferreira 35%).
The betting market prices Brunno Ferreira at 38% (+151) and Edmen Shahbazyan at 62% (-185), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Edmen Shahbazyan than the bookmakers: 32% for Brunno Ferreira against the market's 38%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Shahbazyan riding a winning streak and showcasing elite defensive skills, Ferreira will need to overcome his recent struggles and find a way to break through that tough game plan.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 48%, decision 34%, submission 19%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 34%, over 1.5 rounds 68%, over 2.5 rounds 51%.
Key factors
- Shahbazyan momentum from winning streak
- Shahbazyan defensive skills limit Ferreira
- Shahbazyan grappling control in exchanges
Tale of the tape
| Brunno Ferreira | Edmen Shahbazyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-5 | 10-6 |
| Age | 33 | 29 |
| Height | 5'10" (178 cm) | 6'2" (188 cm) |
| UFC fights | 11 | 16 |
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