Jesus Aguilar vs Sumudaerji: Result and Prediction
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · March 7, 2026
Result
Sumudaerji defeated Jesus Aguilar by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 on March 7, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Sumudaerji as the favourite at 56%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Sumudaerji a 56% chance to beat Jesus Aguilar (Jesus Aguilar 44%).
Aguilar's one-fight win streak faces a tough test against Sumudaerji, whose superior cardio and striking volume could overwhelm Aguilar if the fight goes the distance.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 58%, KO/TKO 24%, submission 18%. The most likely way this 3-round flyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 58%.
Tale of the tape
| Jesus Aguilar | Sumudaerji | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-3 | 7-4 |
| Age | – | 31 |
| UFC fights | 7 | 11 |
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