Alvin Hines vs RJ Harris: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · July 18, 2026
Result
RJ Harris defeated Alvin Hines by KO/TKO in round 1 (1:40) at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman on July 18, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had RJ Harris at only 44%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Alvin Hines a 56% chance to beat RJ Harris (RJ Harris 44%).
The betting market prices Alvin Hines at 54% (-130) and RJ Harris at 46% (+105), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Alvin Hines than the bookmakers: 61% for Alvin Hines against the market's 54%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Hines's striking power and KO threat clash with Harris's grappling control, making this a compelling matchup of styles with high finish rates.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 38%, submission 35%, decision 28%. The most likely way this 3-round heavyweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 28%.
Key factors
- Hines's striking power
- Harris's grappling control
- Elite defenses on both sides
Tale of the tape
| Alvin Hines | RJ Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Age | 35 | 28 |
| Height | 6'2" (188 cm) | – |
| UFC fights | 2 | 1 |
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