Rodolfo Bellato vs Luke Fernandez: Result and Prediction
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · March 7, 2026
Result
Rodolfo Bellato defeated Luke Fernandez by KO/TKO in round 1 (2:42) at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 on March 7, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Rodolfo Bellato at only 43%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Luke Fernandez a 57% chance to beat Rodolfo Bellato (Rodolfo Bellato 43%).
With Bellato desperate to bounce back from his loss and Fernandez riding a three-fight win streak, this matchup promises an intriguing clash of striking volume and tactical grappling.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 49%, KO/TKO 37%, submission 14%. The most likely way this 3-round light heavyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 49%.
Tale of the tape
| Rodolfo Bellato | Luke Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Age | 31 | 31 |
| Height | 6'3" (191 cm) | 6'2" (188 cm) |
| UFC fights | 3 | 1 |
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