Kris Moutinho vs Cristian Quinonez: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · February 28, 2026
Result
Cristian Quinonez defeated Kris Moutinho by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh on February 28, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Cristian Quinonez as the favourite at 65%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Cristian Quinonez a 65% chance to beat Kris Moutinho (Kris Moutinho 35%).
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 56%, KO/TKO 29%, submission 15%. The most likely way this 3-round bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 56%, over 1.5 rounds 80%, over 2.5 rounds 70%.
Key factors
- Cristian Quinonez matchup patterns advantage
- Kris Moutinho submission threat advantage
- Cristian Quinonez overall rating advantage
Tale of the tape
| Kris Moutinho | Cristian Quinonez | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Age | 34 | 30 |
| Height | 5'7" (170 cm) | 5'10" (178 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 4 |
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