Jean Matsumoto vs Bekzat Almakhan: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · June 27, 2026
Result
Jean Matsumoto defeated Bekzat Almakhan by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (05:00:00) at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres on June 27, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Jean Matsumoto as the favourite at 63%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Jean Matsumoto a 63% chance to beat Bekzat Almakhan (Bekzat Almakhan 37%).
The betting market prices Jean Matsumoto at 59% (-168) and Bekzat Almakhan at 41% (+134), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Jean Matsumoto than the bookmakers: 67% for Jean Matsumoto against the market's 59%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Matsumoto's striking volume and precision could be the key to overwhelming Almakhan, but if Almakhan can leverage his takedown skills, this fight might take an unpredictable turn.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 53%, KO/TKO 27%, submission 20%. The most likely way this 3-round bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 53%, over 1.5 rounds 86%, over 2.5 rounds 75%.
Key factors
- Matsumoto striking volume advantage
- Almakhan takedown effectiveness edge
- Matsumoto's defensive skills shine
Tale of the tape
| Jean Matsumoto | Bekzat Almakhan | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Age | 27 | 29 |
| Height | 5'6" (168 cm) | 5'7" (170 cm) |
| UFC fights | 6 | 4 |
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