Ismail Naurdiev vs Marvin Vettori: Result and Prediction
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · October 3, 2026
Result
Ismail Naurdiev defeated Marvin Vettori at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang on October 3, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Ismail Naurdiev as the favourite at 56%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Ismail Naurdiev a 56% chance to beat Marvin Vettori (Marvin Vettori 44%).
The betting market prices Ismail Naurdiev at 56% (-140) and Marvin Vettori at 44% (+114), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Naurdiev's momentum against Vettori's slump creates an intriguing clash, where the former's cardio could wear down a veteran known for his defensive prowess and fight IQ.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 63%, KO/TKO 24%, submission 14%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 63%, over 1.5 rounds 89%, over 2.5 rounds 80%.
Key factors
- Naurdiev momentum vs Vettori skid
- Vettori experience for fight adjustments
- Naurdiev cardio advantage in later rounds
Tale of the tape
| Ismail Naurdiev | Marvin Vettori | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-3 | 9-8 |
| Age | 30 | 33 |
| Height | 6'0" (183 cm) | 6'0" (183 cm) |
| UFC fights | 7 | 17 |
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