Jose Miguel Delgado vs Austin Bashi: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · July 18, 2026
Result
Jose Miguel Delgado defeated Austin Bashi by Decision in round 3 at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman on July 18, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Jose Miguel Delgado at only 48%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Austin Bashi a 52% chance to beat Jose Miguel Delgado (Jose Miguel Delgado 48%).
The betting market prices Jose Miguel Delgado at 50% (-113) and Austin Bashi at 50% (-111), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Austin Bashi than the bookmakers: 45% for Jose Miguel Delgado against the market's 50%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Bashi's elite striking and grappling should exploit Delgado's recent struggles, leading to a potential finish in the later rounds.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 37%, decision 33%, submission 30%. The most likely way this 3-round featherweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 33%.
Key factors
- Bashi's elite striking
- Delgado's recent struggles
- Bashi's grappling advantage
Tale of the tape
| Jose Miguel Delgado | Austin Bashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Age | – | 25 |
| Height | – | 5'6" (168 cm) |
| UFC fights | 0 | 3 |
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