Sedriques Dumas vs Jackson McVey: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · April 25, 2026
Result
Jackson McVey defeated Sedriques Dumas by Submission in round 1 (2:14) at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal on April 25, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Jackson McVey as the favourite at 62%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Jackson McVey a 62% chance to beat Sedriques Dumas (Sedriques Dumas 38%).
The betting market prices Sedriques Dumas at 38% (+152) and Jackson McVey at 62% (-192), with the bookmaker margin removed.
McVey's striking power and elite defense will exploit Dumas' weaknesses, leading to a likely finish via KO or submission given the contrasting skill levels.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 38%, decision 34%, submission 28%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 34%.
Key factors
- McVey's striking power
- Dumas' limited striking
- McVey's elite defense
Tale of the tape
| Sedriques Dumas | Jackson McVey | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Age | 31 | 28 |
| Height | 6'3" (191 cm) | 6'4" (193 cm) |
| UFC fights | 8 | 4 |
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