Gillian Robertson vs Mackenzie Dern: Result and Prediction
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · August 15, 2026
Result
Mackenzie Dern defeated Gillian Robertson by Decision - Unanimous in round 5 (5:00) at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry on August 15, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Mackenzie Dern as the favourite at 55%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Mackenzie Dern a 55% chance to beat Gillian Robertson (Gillian Robertson 45%).
The betting market prices Gillian Robertson at 34% (+175) and Mackenzie Dern at 66% (-224), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Gillian Robertson than the bookmakers: 54% for Gillian Robertson against the market's 34%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Robertson's elite grappling and defensive prowess facing Dern's striking volume, this matchup promises a thrilling clash where the ground game may dictate the flow of battle.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 49%, submission 31%, KO/TKO 20%. The most likely way this 5-round women's strawweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 49%, over 1.5 rounds 82%, over 2.5 rounds 70%.
Key factors
- Robertson grappling control advantage
- Robertson defensive metrics superiority
- Dern striking volume edge
Tale of the tape
| Gillian Robertson | Mackenzie Dern | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-7 | 12-5 |
| Age | 31 | 34 |
| Height | 5'5" (165 cm) | 5'4" (163 cm) |
| UFC fights | 21 | 17 |
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