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Charles Radtke vs Stephen Thompson Prediction, Odds and Pick

UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · November 14, 2026

Who wins Charles Radtke vs Stephen Thompson?

FIGHT//AI gives Charles Radtke a 58% chance to beat Stephen Thompson, who is at 42%. The headline number blends our machine-learning model with the betting market and fan sentiment.

Experience Factor (38%) drives Radtke's 61% edge — Thompson's counter-strategy starts with neutralizing that.

How the fight ends

Method of victory, either fighter: decision 47%, KO/TKO 40%, submission 13%. The most likely way this 3-round welterweight fight ends is on the scorecards.

Fight length: goes the distance 47%, over 1.5 rounds 78%, over 2.5 rounds 65%.

Key factors

  • Stephen Thompson experience factor advantage
  • Charles Radtke matchup patterns advantage
  • Charles Radtke grappling control advantage

Tale of the tape

Charles RadtkeStephen Thompson
Record5-212-9
Age3644
Height5'10" (178 cm)6'0" (183 cm)
UFC fights721

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