Daniel Rodriguez vs Uros Medic: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · August 1, 2026
Result
Uros Medic defeated Daniel Rodriguez by KO/TKO in round 1 (0:30) at UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez on August 1, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Uros Medic as the favourite at 64%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Uros Medic a 64% chance to beat Daniel Rodriguez (Daniel Rodriguez 36%).
The betting market prices Daniel Rodriguez at 24% (+302) and Uros Medic at 76% (-424), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Daniel Rodriguez than the bookmakers: 42% for Daniel Rodriguez against the market's 24%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Rodriguez's striking volume potentially clashing against Medic's grappling prowess, this fight promises a thrilling battle of the stand-up game versus ground control.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 47%, decision 40%, submission 13%. The most likely way this 5-round welterweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 40%, over 1.5 rounds 72%, over 2.5 rounds 56%.
Key factors
- Rodriguez striking volume advantage
- Medic grappling control potential
- Medic cardio edge late in fight
Tale of the tape
| Daniel Rodriguez | Uros Medic | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 10-5 | 8-3 |
| Age | 40 | 33 |
| Height | 6'0" (183 cm) | 6'1" (185 cm) |
| UFC fights | 15 | 11 |
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