Terrance McKinney vs King Green: Result and Prediction
UFC 329: Mcgregor vs. Holloway 2 · July 11, 2026
Result
King Green defeated Terrance McKinney by KO/TKO in round 1 (4:59) at UFC 329: Mcgregor vs. Holloway 2 on July 11, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had King Green as the favourite at 53%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave King Green a 53% chance to beat Terrance McKinney (Terrance McKinney 47%).
The betting market prices Terrance McKinney at 51% (-115) and King Green at 49% (-104), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on King Green than the bookmakers: 43% for Terrance McKinney against the market's 51%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With McKinney's grappling control against Green's momentum from a winning streak, this clash of styles could lead to a thrilling back-and-forth or unexpected finish.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 38%, KO/TKO 37%, submission 25%. The most likely way this 3-round lightweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 38%, over 1.5 rounds 72%, over 2.5 rounds 59%.
Key factors
- McKinney's grappling control advantage
- Green's recent momentum boost
- McKinney's striking volume edge
Tale of the tape
| Terrance McKinney | King Green | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-6 | 4-2 |
| Age | 32 | 40 |
| Height | 5'10" (178 cm) | 5'10" (178 cm) |
| UFC fights | 14 | 6 |
The full interactive analysis – Fight Map, simulations, signals and AI picks – loads with JavaScript.