Nikita Krylov vs Robert Whittaker: Result and Prediction
UFC 329: Mcgregor vs. Holloway 2 · July 11, 2026
Result
Robert Whittaker defeated Nikita Krylov by KO/TKO in round 3 (1:01) at UFC 329: Mcgregor vs. Holloway 2 on July 11, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Robert Whittaker as the favourite at 55%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Robert Whittaker a 55% chance to beat Nikita Krylov (Nikita Krylov 45%).
The betting market prices Nikita Krylov at 47% (+104) and Robert Whittaker at 53% (-128), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Robert Whittaker than the bookmakers: 41% for Nikita Krylov against the market's 47%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Krylov's high-output striking facing Whittaker's elite defense and cardio, this fight could turn into a masterclass in striking versus relentless pace.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 46%, KO/TKO 34%, submission 20%. The most likely way this 3-round light heavyweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 46%, over 1.5 rounds 77%, over 2.5 rounds 63%.
Key factors
- Whittaker's elite defense advantage
- Whittaker's cardio edge in later rounds
- Krylov's striking volume slight edge
Tale of the tape
| Nikita Krylov | Robert Whittaker | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 12-10 | 18-7 |
| Age | 34 | 36 |
| Height | 6'3" (191 cm) | 6'0" (183 cm) |
| UFC fights | 22 | 25 |
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