Levan Chokheli vs Leon Shahbazyan: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · June 20, 2026
Result
Levan Chokheli defeated Leon Shahbazyan by KO/TKO in round 1 (00:23:00) at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi on June 20, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Levan Chokheli as the favourite at 71%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Levan Chokheli a 71% chance to beat Leon Shahbazyan (Leon Shahbazyan 29%).
The betting market prices Levan Chokheli at 75% (-377) and Leon Shahbazyan at 25% (+272), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Leon Shahbazyan than the bookmakers: 65% for Levan Chokheli against the market's 75%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Chokheli's explosive KO power and elite cardio clash with Shahbazyan's defensive prowess, making this matchup a thrilling test of endurance and striking efficiency.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: KO/TKO 63%, decision 35%, submission 2%. The most likely way this 3-round welterweight fight ends is by KO/TKO.
Fight length: goes the distance 35%.
Key factors
- Chokheli's KO power
- Shahbazyan's defensive skills
- Chokheli's cardio advantage
Tale of the tape
| Levan Chokheli | Leon Shahbazyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Age | 30 | 31 |
| Height | 6'1" (185 cm) | 6'4" (193 cm) |
| UFC fights | 1 | 1 |
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