Alice Pereira vs Daria Zhelezniakova: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · October 10, 2026
Result
Alice Pereira defeated Daria Zhelezniakova at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan on October 10, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Alice Pereira at only 46%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Daria Zhelezniakova a 54% chance to beat Alice Pereira (Alice Pereira 46%).
Thin tape on Pereira — model projects Zhelezniakova at 54% but treat this as a sketch, not a blueprint.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 55%, KO/TKO 35%, submission 10%. The most likely way this 3-round women's bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 55%.
Key factors
- Pereira grappling control on the mat
- Zhelezniakova striking volume advantage
- Pereira submission threat in grappling
Tale of the tape
| Alice Pereira | Daria Zhelezniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Age | 21 | – |
| Height | 5'8" (173 cm) | – |
| UFC fights | 2 | 4 |
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