Khaos Williams vs Nikolay Veretennikov: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026
Result
Khaos Williams defeated Nikolay Veretennikov by KO/TKO in round 1 (3:31) at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa on May 16, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Khaos Williams at only 48%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Nikolay Veretennikov a 52% chance to beat Khaos Williams (Khaos Williams 48%).
The betting market prices Khaos Williams at 52% (-105) and Nikolay Veretennikov at 48% (+110), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Nikolay Veretennikov than the bookmakers: 45% for Khaos Williams against the market's 52%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
With Veretennikov riding high on recent success against Williams, who’s struggling to find his groove, this fight could turn into a battle of wills as both try to seize critical momentum.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 49%, KO/TKO 37%, submission 14%. The most likely way this 3-round welterweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 49%, over 1.5 rounds 81%, over 2.5 rounds 68%.
Key factors
- Williams striking volume advantage
- Veretennikov's recent momentum
- Williams grappling control potential
Tale of the tape
| Khaos Williams | Nikolay Veretennikov | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-4 | 2-4 |
| Age | 32 | 37 |
| Height | – | 6'0" (183 cm) |
| UFC fights | 11 | 6 |
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