Danny Silva vs Kurtis Campbell: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · March 21, 2026
Result
Danny Silva defeated Kurtis Campbell by KO/TKO in round 2 (0:31) at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy on March 21, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Danny Silva at only 47%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Kurtis Campbell a 53% chance to beat Danny Silva (Danny Silva 47%).
The betting market prices Danny Silva at 33% (+188) and Kurtis Campbell at 67% (-243), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Danny Silva than the bookmakers: 58% for Danny Silva against the market's 33%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Silva's defensive prowess and cardio may exploit Campbell's declining form, leading to a potential finish as the fight progresses.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 62%, KO/TKO 21%, submission 17%. The most likely way this 3-round featherweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 62%, over 1.5 rounds 88%, over 2.5 rounds 79%.
Key factors
- Silva's defensive edge
- Campbell's recent struggles
- Silva's cardio advantage
Tale of the tape
| Danny Silva | Kurtis Campbell | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Age | 30 | 24 |
| Height | 5'11" (180 cm) | 5'9" (175 cm) |
| UFC fights | 4 | 2 |
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