Ben Johnston vs Wes Schultz: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 2, 2026
Result
Wes Schultz defeated Ben Johnston by Submission in round 3 (1:50) at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates on May 2, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Wes Schultz at only 43%, so this was an upset against the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Ben Johnston a 57% chance to beat Wes Schultz (Wes Schultz 43%).
The betting market prices Ben Johnston at 59% (-161) and Wes Schultz at 41% (+128), with the bookmaker margin removed.
Our model is more positive on Wes Schultz than the bookmakers: 53% for Ben Johnston against the market's 59%. A gap like this is where value bets come from.
Johnston's finishing ability and grappling may exploit Schultz's recent struggles, while Schultz's defense could neutralize the striking threat.
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 46%, KO/TKO 37%, submission 17%. The most likely way this 3-round middleweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 46%, over 1.5 rounds 74%, over 2.5 rounds 62%.
Key factors
- Johnston's KO threat
- Schultz's defensive skills
- Recent form concerns for Schultz
Tale of the tape
| Ben Johnston | Wes Schultz | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Age | 35 | 30 |
| Height | 6'4" (193 cm) | 6'2" (188 cm) |
| UFC fights | 1 | 3 |
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