Macy Chiasson vs Ailin Perez: Result and Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · February 28, 2026
Result
Ailin Perez defeated Macy Chiasson by Decision - Unanimous in round 3 (5:00) at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh on February 28, 2026.
The FIGHT//AI model had Ailin Perez as the favourite at 65%, so the result went with the model.
Model prediction
The FIGHT//AI headline probability gave Ailin Perez a 65% chance to beat Macy Chiasson (Macy Chiasson 35%).
How the model expected it to end
Method of victory, either fighter: decision 58%, KO/TKO 23%, submission 19%. The most likely way this 3-round women's bantamweight fight ends is on the scorecards.
Fight length: goes the distance 58%, over 1.5 rounds 86%, over 2.5 rounds 76%.
Key factors
- Ailin Perez matchup patterns advantage
- Ailin Perez recent form trajectory advantage
- Macy Chiasson experience factor advantage
Tale of the tape
| Macy Chiasson | Ailin Perez | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-6 | 6-1 |
| Age | 35 | 32 |
| Height | 5'11" (180 cm) | 5'5" (165 cm) |
| UFC fights | 14 | 7 |
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